Oakland trades down from No. 10 to No. 15 for OT Kolton Miller and picks in 3rd and 5th round, Cardinals take QB Josh Rosen

< Trade #18.2: TB & BUF GBP & NOS: Trade #18.4 >

Cardinals ended with
No. 10 – QB Josh Rosen

Raiders ended with
No. 15 – OT Kolton Miller
No. 79 – Traded for WR Martavis Bryant
No. 152 – 1 of 3 picks used to trade up for No. 65 OT Brandon Parker


Dictator’s Decree: “The Raiders strategy was sound. As TDI’s Glorious Constitution states, “If you trust your GM and scouts to nail No. 10, you should also trust them to nail No. 15.” An extra 3rd can yield a starter (which the Raiders blew) and an extra 5th can be used as a smart trade-up asset, which the Raiders did.”– March 2019


The Raiders are one of the most dysfunctional teams in the NFL so leave it to them to mess up a trade down strategy. Getting an extra picks in the third and fifth rounds to move down five spots in the first round seems like a small hual. Then they basically lit the third round pick on fire by trading it for high-risk, high-reward Martavis Bryant. This is more of a reflection of the incompetence in Oakland moreso than the merits of trading down. The fifth rounder was used to move up to take Brandon Parker at No. 65, which is fine because fifth round picks rarely pan out.

While most trade down scenarios usually make your dictator want to summon people to his palace for a royal party, this one left him feeling rather “meh.”

Trade #18.3 – Assets Exchanged
Cardinals receive: No. 10 (1st Rd.)
Raiders receive: No. 15 (1st Rd.), No. 79 (3rd Rd.), No. 152 (5th Rd.)

Trade #18.3 – Draft Picks & Transactions


2018 Year-End Summary
Rosen struggled as a rookie but didn’t get a lot of help from a lackluster Cardinals offense. PFF noted his 80.9 passer rating from a clean pocket ranked 37th among qualifying passers.

Meanwhile, Kolton Miller established himself as an every-down starter at offensive tackle for the Raiders, though PFF ranked him as the No. 76 tackle with a “below average” grade. Trading a third round pick for Martavis Bryant failed after he was suspended indefinitely by the NFL (did I mention this move was “high risk?”) Lastly, the Raiders did get some value out of the extra fifth round pick as it was used for an asset in a multi-pick trade for OT Brandon Parker (No. 65 overall) who started 12 games and played in nearly 75 percent of the Raiders offensive snaps. That’s probably more value than most fifth round picks will yield.

So, as of the end of 2018, who won? The trade-up Cardinals, or the trade-down Raiders?

Notes on statistics:
1. Approximate Value(“AV”) and Snap Counts (“Snap”) per Football Reference.
2. Snap Counts only list offensive and defensive snaps. Special teams snaps are excluded.

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