Bears move up in 2nd for WR Anthony Miller, Patriots hoard future draft picks

< Trade #18.13: IND & PHI TB & NWE: Trade #18.15 >

Bears left with
No. 51 – WR Anthony Miller

Patriots left with
No. 105 – Traded No. 105 for No. 114 (later traded) and No. 178 (Christian Sam)
2019 2nd round pick

Dictator’s Decree: “We have no problem here at Trade Down Island when teams trade up to get their guy, which the Bears did to get WR Anthony Miller at No. 51. They had better hope he produces because they gave up their 2018 4th round and 2019 2nd round to get him. We shall see.” – March 2019

The Patriots flip draft picks like a drunken and desperate stock trader trying not to get fired. Same goes with this trade. New England practiced some delayed gratification by flipping their 2018 2nd round pick for a 2nd round pick in 2019, which is a pretty “meh” move. In return, they also picked up a 2018 4th round pick, No. 105. This additional pick was later swapped for No. 114 (which was then traded for a 2019 3rd Rd. pick) and No. 178 which was used on LB Christian Sam. The Bears decided to keep things simple and draft WR Anthony Miller who went on to have a productive rookie season.

Trade #18.14 – Assets Exchanged
Bears receive: No. 51 (2nd Rd.)
Patriots receive: No. 105 (4th Rd.), 2019 2nd round pick

Trade #18.14 – Players Drafted & Transactions

See Trade #18.23 – Patriots trade No. 105 (4th Rd.) for No. 114 (4th Rd.) & No. 178 (6th Rd., LB Christian Sam).

2018 Year-End Summary
The main knock many people have about trading down is you are “swapping a dollar bill for three quarters”, meaning the team trading back is getting a diluted return as their picks get push further and further into the draft. Frankly, it feels like the Patriots turned a dollar into three quarters with these transactions, but we will have to see who they end up drafting with their 2019 2nd round pick and if Christian Sam becomes anything special. For the Bears, this move could prove to be a good trade-up strategy if Anthony Miller continues to develop, especially improving from his team worst 10.8 percent drop rate.

Notes on statistics:
1. Approximate Value(“AV”) and Snap Counts (“Snap”) per Football Reference.
2. Snap Counts only list offensive and defensive snaps. Special teams snaps are excluded.

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